📈 Analysis #backtest

We tested all 19,670 disclosed House stock buys since 2013, entering on the disclosure date you could actually trade. The median member loses to the S&P — and the Pelosi headlines aren't what they seem.

We audit everyone else's edge, so here's ours. Our insider-cluster strategy's out-of-sample alpha is +3.5% per trade — but a 44% win rate and a flat in-sample number mean it's small and within noise. Shown in full.